Wow.
We did it.
We made it to playoffs, you and I.
I hope you feel prepared. And I hope you have been able to load up on a bunch of players that will bring you victories for your playoff push, and for many seasons beyond.
With season’s end approaching this weekend, it feels like an appropriate time to transition content a touch. Of course, my ranks will still exist and I will still be here to answer any questions you have as they develop. But, the playoffs are a wild time. Prices will fluctuate wildly due to some players retaining utility for the season in the form of additional games, and some players not.
Unfortunately, that breeds chaos for what has been a relatively stable model year-to-date.
As such, I will simply be transitioning to monthly ranking updates from this point forward, starting with an update in October.
What this will do is free me up for a bit more creative writing on both postseason and offseason-focused topics, so be on the lookout for that!
Housekeeping complete, let’s dive into the last rankings update of the 2023 (regular) season 💪
Rankings
Pro tip: click or tap the top of any given column to sort the data. You can also search for a given player using the “Search in table” box.
Players with negative numbers in the “+/-” column are “Values”, while players with positive numbers in that column are considered “Overvalues.” Lastly, if the Google Doc was your best friend, you can still find it right here.
Please note: based on how the pricing data is pulled, some players have blanks in their +/-. This will improve over time as more and more cards continue to hit the market for each player and more data flows to the provider.
5 Value Candidates
This week is a little different. You are familiar with all my deep values for most of the season. This week are my favorite star-caliber values. True studs that go overlooked for one reason or another. Look here if you need a cornerstone at a discount.
Juan Soto - SD - OF
SoRank: 4 | Implied Rank: 18 | -14 slot differential
So very young still, with arguably the best “eye” in baseball to go with an elite hit tool. If he remembers how to elevate the ball, watch out.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - TOR - 1B
SoRank: 8 | Implied Rank: 20 | -12 slot differential
Manny Machado - SD - 3B
SoRank: 20 | Implied Rank: 41 | -21 slot differential
Betting on an injury bounceback next year, and he’s an easy pair with Soto (and Xander, who didn’t quite make this list).
Corbin Burnes - MIL - SP
SoRank: 22 | Implied Rank: 51 | -29 slot differential
A down year and Burnes was still awesome. I might need to downgrade pitchers in general slightly, but the fact remains he has top-3 SP upside in any given season.
Bryan Reynolds - PIT - OF
SoRank: 50 | Implied Rank: 122 | -72 slot differential
5 Overvalued Candidates
Conversely, there are some stars I am either avoiding purchasing or would be actively trying to flip in a trade or on the market. These are those stars.
Aaron Judge - NYY - OF/DH
SoRank: 11 | Implied Rank: 4 | 7 slot differential
Spencer Strider - ATL - SP
SoRank: 36 | Implied Rank: 8 | 28 slot differential
Before the yelling starts, let me make a distinction: RP-eligable Strider cards are wonderful due to his start-to-start upside. SP-only cards are fine, but carry serious name value in a market that has tons of affordable SP options.
Marcus Semien - TEX - 2B/SS
SoRank: 45 | Implied Rank: 15 | 30 slot differential
Alex Bregman - HOU - 3B
SoRank: 51 | Implied Rank: 35 | 16 slot differential
Jose Altuve - HOU - 2B
SoRank: 62 | Implied Rank: 28 | 34 slot differential
While I am all-in on Tucker and Yordan as a premier 2-player stack, I am far less enthused with Bregman and Altuve at-cost for the long term.
That’s a wrap on the rankings, values, and overvalues for the week!
I would be deeply grateful if you could share these ranks with a friend, then head over to Twitter and toss me a follow.
It may sound silly, but it is huge for helping this newsletter grow 🙌
Good luck out there this week managers!